Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Hobby Lobby criticizes Obamacare

One last interesting post as we wrap up the quarter. 
The US Supreme Court has said it will hear a Christian-owned company's challenge to a requirement in President Barack Obama's healthcare law that employers cover workers' contraception.
The owners of Hobby Lobby, a chain of craft supply shops, say the requirement violates their religious beliefs.

Monday, November 25, 2013

US-Iran Nuclear Deal

"The West has long suspected Iran's uranium enrichment programme is geared towards making a weapon, but Tehran insists it only wants nuclear energy." Do you think Iran is playing Obama? 

Obama acknowledged that obstacles remained but said "tough talk and bluster" did not guarantee US security.

There has been a lot of back and forth, heated debates and big challenges surrounding this deal.  It is one thing to tell others to do something that you do yourself.  None of the western powers or Saudi for that matter have renounced their nuclear powers and yet they are putting immense pressure on Iran for wanting to do so. Is this a form of political hypocrisy? 

Sunday, November 24, 2013

NUCLEAR OPTION

US President Barack Obama has lent his support to a move by Senate Democrats to limit Republicans' ability to block White House nominations.

Power trip?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-25042482

Thursday, November 21, 2013

health insurance or double whammy?

in case you're not tired of this talk already here's an article shedding light on the corollaries of Obamacare on small businesses and its employees. 

"To be sure, the new health law will also impose other fees and taxes, including a $63 tax on each person covered in a health plan starting next year.

The new health-law tax, which increases annually, is projected to raise premiums for small businesses by an average of 1.9% to 2.3% in 2014, or about $150 per employee and $360 per family, according to a report by management-consulting firm Oliver Wyman in Milwaukee, Wis. By 2023, the firm predicts the cost could rise to an average of $360 per employee and $890 per family for small businesses."

what are your thoughts on the different levels of health insurance tax (hit)?

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

perks and kinks of emerging economies

"Having spent years as favoured spots for investment for asset-managers, industrialists, cab drivers and monkeys throwing darts, their economies suddenly fell from grace... Emerging economies have been slowing for several years" 

The role of the government of the "fragile five" boils down to stabilizing and restructuring the economy to make it easier to do business and foreign investment.  What point(s) do you think this article on emerging economies is trying to drive home? Are emerging markets more volatile than their counterparts and is the risk worthwhile?

Still think austerity works in a recession?

This comes from one of my favorite economics blog run by a broad spectrum of Economists all interested in shaking up their field. Professor Black of UMiss-KC takes the NYT correspondent Jackie Calmes to task for her continued misunderstanding and misrepresentation of post-crash economics: "Jackie Calmes’ “Dirty Secret” about the Opponents of Austerity is that they are Correct"

Link: http://neweconomicperspectives.org/2013/11/jackie-calmes-dirty-secret-opponents-austerity-correct.html#more-6929

What does everyone else think? Is Black correct in his assessment of austerity's inefficacy, or does Calmes actually have a point?

 

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Lesson Is Seen in Failure of Law on Medicare in 1989

The tortured history of the catastrophic-care law is a cautionary tale in the context of the struggle over the new health law, the Affordable Care Act. It illustrates the political and policy hazards of presenting sweeping health system changes to consumers who might not be prepared for them. 

Backers of the Affordable Care Act say comparisons to the catastrophic-care debacle are flawed. They say that the new law fills a major health insurance void and that despite its current problems it will never meet the same fate as that undertaking in 1988.

Others involved with the passage and repeal of the Medicare Catastrophic Coverage Act see clear parallels with the current situation, in which a very vocal segment that views itself as harmed by the new law has joined with highly organized political operations to rally opposition to it.

What do you guys thinks ? Is there a lesson to be learnt from the Medicare Catastrophic Coverage Act or is it incomparable to the Affordable Care Act ? Here is the actual article.


Disaster Risk Management in the Arab World is Critical and Cost Effective

http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2013/11/17/disaster-risk-management-in-the-arab-world-is-critical-and-cost-effective Do you see parallels to the class reading activities? From a global economic perspective, there are regions normally considered macro economies with much higher concentrations of certain risks than others similarly to the dynamics on the micro scale in a way. How to distribute the burden?

Monday, November 18, 2013

America's cities on the edge

http://www.cnbc.com/id/101196425/page/1
The hardest-hit cities find themselves mired deeply in a downward spiral as cuts in services, rising crime rates and falling property values all contribute to the decline (see graphic: The Recession's Aftermath). "If you can't provide the environment for investment, the process of shrinking just continues," said Jeffrey Keefe, a labor economist at Rutgers University. "The people and businesses leave, and there's no inflow of economic resources. So all you're doing is living off external subsidies to provide law and order and some basic education and social insurance."
"We're not just competing city to suburb anymore," he said. "Our regions are competing globally. But they won't be able to sustain that competitive edge if they're burdened by the legacy of aging infrastructure and pension costs."
That has left many of America's most distressed cities to fend for themselves. "The resources are there; the question is whether they can be reallocated from the communities that have resources to those that don't," said Rutgers' Keefe.
How does this article make you think about relationship between the public and private sector?

Walmart economy

"Walmart said about 10 of more than six dozen Bangladesh garment factories failed safety checks in audits it commissioned.
The retailer hired Bureau Veritas to check some 200 factories it uses in Bangladesh after the April collapse of the Rana Plaza building killed more than 1,100 people and highlighted often grim conditions in the country's garment industry.
About 75 factories have been audited so far and Walmart said it will release results for other factories as the inspections are completed.
It said factories that failed audits have since made improvements."

Thoughts?

China’s economic reforms: What you need to know

http://www.cnbc.com/id/101205322 We've been hearing about the relaxation of the one-child policy, but many other changes are happening in China. Any thoughts?

The coming R&D crash

Last time in class we saw a TED talk about government's important impact on innovation. Here is an article discussing the possibility of a R&D crash in the USA.
What do you think about the projections? Do you think the private sector can pick up the slack?

Basic Income – A simpler welfare model?

An article in the Times recently discussed a growing movement in Switzerland (amongst other countries) to create a 'basic income:' http://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/17/magazine/switzerlands-proposal-to-pay-people-for-being-alive.html?_r=0&pagewanted=all

It's the basic idea that you simply give everyone of your citizen's a check that provides them with a minimum income for living. An earlier article in the Atlantic argued that such a measure in the US would cut official poverty rates in half: http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2013/10/how-to-cut-the-poverty-rate-in-half-its-easy/280971/

What do you all think? Is it a convincing argument? Politically unfeasible? Would there be too significant negative effects on 'worker motivation'? Should we even care to do this?

Sunday, November 17, 2013

Environmental tornado = economic turmoil?

In light of the deadly recent Filipino typhoon this article about today's tornado hits very close to home for all of us. An untimely and destructive storm that has caused severe damages and death cannot be avoided. What does this mean for the midwest? I think this has some serious economic implications. What are some of the obvious and not so obvious ones?

Saturday, November 16, 2013

Obamablunder

Is Obamacare making a case against the role of a big government? 52% of Americans are displeased with the President due to the  healthcare blunder. What else can you deduce from this article?

Thursday, November 14, 2013

The U.S. labor force is still shrinking. Here’s why.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/11/08/the-u-s-labor-force-is-still-shrinking-rapidly-heres-why/
The U.S. labor force keeps shrinking rapidly. Back in 2007, 66 percent of Americans had a job or were actively seeking work. Today, that number is at 62.8 percent — the lowest level since 1978:
So why does the size of the labor force matter? For one, if people are leaving the labor force for economic reasons (and they're not going back to school), it would mean that the economy is in much worse shape than the official unemployment rate suggests. The jobless rate is officially 7.3 percent, but that only counts people who are actively seeking work — not labor-force dropouts. The size of the labor force also goes a long way to determining America's growth prospects. If, say, Baby Boomers are retiring faster than expected, then long-run U.S. economic growth will be lower than projected. Even worse, if discouraged workers are dropping out of the labor force entirely, they may never make their way back into jobs. Their skills erode over time. Companies don't even bother to look at their resumes. They essentially become unemployable.
What are your thoughts on the economic repercussions of this fact? Can and should the government do something about it?

Why does this remind me of Tuesday night?

How To Win 'The Price Is Right' - Business Insider

Tuesday, November 12, 2013

Distress Grows for Philippine Typhoon Victims Who Can’t Get Aid, or Out

Earlier today we discussed the disaster in the Philippines. The most recent count has the dearth tool at 1,798. The relief effort seems to be moving all too slowly.

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/13/world/asia/anger-rising-over-conditions-in-tacloban-ravaged-philippine-city.html?ref=world&_r=0

While a storm like this is impossible to prepare for should the government have had some better type of emergency system in place? What about the rest of the world, how would the UN prepare for these tragedies or is the uncertainty to such a point that this is the best they could hope to do?

Bill Clinton wieghs in on the Healthcare bill.

"Former President Bill Clinton said he thinks the Affordable Care Act may need to be changed to help consumers whose health insurance policies are being canceled."
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304868404579194294230693488?mod=WSJ_HealthLaw_LeftTopNews

What changes do you think they need to make to the bill?

What happens if your insurance company fails ?

After watching Enron's bankruptcy video and reading about Risk Management for the last two weeks, I have repeatedly thought about what happens if my insurance fails to manage my risk and goes bankrupt. This article explains how susceptible insurance companies are to failure and how much protection the government offers to consumers.

Inequality in global perspective

Screen Shot 2013 11 12 at 4.11.14 AM


Hans Rosling Inequality Chart - Business Insider

Monday, November 11, 2013

HeathCare.gov Enrollment Falls Far Short of Target

healthcare.gov has been online for nearly a month now and only 50,000 citizens have signed up for private health care through the website. The faults with the website have no doubt caused this number to be lower than the 500,000 that the administration expected.

http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303460004579192190709762378?mod=WSJ_WSJ_US_News_6

Do you see this as an example of typical government inefficiency, or just some bad luck? Do you think the goal they set would have been reached with these problems or is part of the reason that this number is so low a result of people not buying into the system? Do you think this rocky start have a lasting effect on obamacare?

Sunday, November 10, 2013

The TTP: a new world governance system

New isn't always better; even is a part of this is true: 

The next “trade” treaty will be the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). This is a huge treaty with only a small part covering trade. Most of the agreement (according to leaks) sets down a new kind of regulatory structure [what does that mean?] for the giant corporations that would supersede the ability of any country to rein them in. The treaty is being negotiated in secret with only business interests “at the table.” Representatives of others with a stake in the outcome are not part of the process. Groups representing the interests of consumers, labor, human rights, the environment, democracy or even smaller and innovative companies that might want to compete with the giant multinationals are not part of the negotiations.
To bad about the verticals, not to mention the American people, or their elected representatives. CEPR:
Of course the TPP is not about free trade, in most cases the formal trade barriers between the countries negotiating the pact are relatively low. The main thrust of the negotiations is to impose a regulator[y] structure in a wide range of areas — health, safety, environmental — which will override national and sub-national rules. This has little to do with trade and in some cases, such as the increased patent protection for prescription drugs being pushed as part of the deal (which is noted in the article), will actually involve increased barriers to trade.

Read more at http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2013/11/the-tpp-if-passed-spells-the-end-of-popular-sovereignty-for-the-united-states.html#YrQ6TY6J5lRtcQTE.99


The TPP, if Passed, Spells the End of Popular Sovereignty for The United States « naked capitalism

Saturday, November 9, 2013

Cuts in Hospital Subsidies Threaten Safety-Net Care

Some safety-net hospitals have seen their funding cut recently. With the affordable care act going into effect they lost a majority of their government funding. This was designed to be offset by an offset in medicare expansion. However, the Supreme Court ruled that states can opt out of this expansion. As a result many in the lower class are feeling the effects.

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/09/health/cuts-in-hospital-subsidies-threaten-safety-net-care.html?ref=us&_r=0

What do you think of the Supreme Court ruling? This seems to be an example of a efficiency-equity trade off. Do you think that states should exercise this new option?

Sleeping Stranger Subway Picture On Q Train Defines Empathy And Is A Lesson In Being Good

This makes you smile and feel good (I hope).

Sleeping Stranger Subway Picture On Q Train Defines Empathy And Is A Lesson In Being Good

Thursday, November 7, 2013

F.D.A Ruling Would All but Eliminate Trans Fats

A few years ago the FDA required that products containing trans fat must recognize that fact on their packaging. Today they are on the verge of removing it from all food products. It has been estimated that the new ruling could prevent 20,000 heart attacks and 7,000 deaths each year.

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/08/health/fda-trans-fats.html?hp&_r=0

Is this the best way to limit potentially harmful substances or should it be up to the consumers to stop buying these products? How does your opinion differ about this proposal as opposed to the soda tax discussed earlier, or do you feel the same way about these two health initiatives?

American Banks and accounting rules

 Apologists for America’s largest banks say that they are smaller than their European and Asian competitors … and that they have to be big to compete.
Current Vice Chair and director of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation – and former 20-year President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City – Thomas Hoenig destroyed that argument earlier this month.  Specifically, Bloomberg reports:

Warning: Banks in the U.S. are bigger than they appear.
That label, like a similar one on automobile side-view mirrors, might be required of the four largest U.S. lenders if Thomas Hoenig, vice chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., has his way. Applying stricter accounting standards for derivatives and off-balance-sheet assets would make the banks twice as big as they say they are — or about the size of the U.S. economy — according to data compiled by Bloomberg.  “Derivatives, like loans, carry risk,” Hoenig said in an interview. “To recognize those bets on the balance sheet would give a better picture of the risk exposures that are there.”
U.S. accounting rules allow banks to record a smaller portion of their derivatives than European peers and keep most mortgage-linked bonds off their books.

Enron was "legal" for the most part.  Mark to market was an accepted accounting technique and so is the one described above.

American Banks ARE NOT Smaller than their Foreign Rivals | The Big Picture

Wednesday, November 6, 2013

Higher Wage Is Approved in New Jersey

Voters in New Jersey recently approved a measure that will raise the minimum wage by $1 to $8.25 starting next year. 


What do you think of this? Do you think the national level should be raised as well? Or would it do more harm than good in our still troubled economy? How about here in Michigan where it has been $7.40 since 2008. 

One in Six Americans in Poverty

Thanks, Obama.

No but seriously, what do we do about this?

Company fined for oil spill in Arkansas | Processing Magazine

Colorado-based Whiting Oil and Gas Corporation has agreed to pay $58,570 to the Oil Spill Liability Trust Fund for violating the Clean Water Act after an oil spill in Arkansas in September last year, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) announced last week..... Any company that allows such substances to leak in quantities that are potentially harmful to public health or the environment will be treated as an offender and will be expected to pay a penalty. In this particular case, the fine will be deposited into the Oil Spill Liability Trust Fund, which is used to cover the expenses for response activities and to compensate for damages that may have occurred in result of a spill, the EPA stated.

 I wonder if the trust fund is large enough to cover a major spill?   I went to the website for the fund (see link)  I read that :
 
The OSLTF has two major components.
  1. The Emergency Fund is available for Federal On-Scene Coordinators (FOSCs) to respond to discharges and for federal trustees to initiate natural resource damage assessments. The Emergency Fund is a recurring $50 million available to the President annually.
  2. The remaining Principal Fund balance is used to pay claims and to fund appropriations by Congress to Federal agencies to administer the provisions of OPA and support research and development. 
From the Alaskan Dispatch:

Although we know exactly how to better reduce spill risks, we are continually told that there is not enough money available to do so, particularly with current federal budget problems. The federal government’s Oil Spill Liability Trust Fund (OSLTF), which collects 8 cents/barrel on oil nationwide, is authorized to pay for spill prevention measures, but such requests must first go through a politicized congressional appropriations process. Because of this, the Fund is virtually never used for spill prevention, and almost always just for after-spill response costs – a politically easier lift in Congress. Thus, many necessary prevention measures are either left to be paid from government general funds (e.g. us taxpayers), or are left unfunded altogether. Clearly, this is bad economics, and needs to be fixed. It is high time that industry begins to pay its spill prevention bill in full.


Company fined for oil spill in Arkansas | Processing Magazine

Risk management for whom?


Today, Ireland is under a different sort of tyranny, one imposed by the banks and the troika -- the EU, ECB and IMF. The oppressors have demanded austerity and more austerity, forcing the public to pick up the tab for bills incurred by profligate private bankers. The official unemployment rate is 13.2 percent -- up from 5 percent in 2006 -- and this figure does not take into account the mass emigration of Ireland's young people in search of better opportunities abroad. Job loss and a flood of foreclosures are leading to suicides. A raft of new taxes and charges has been sold as necessary to reduce the deficit, but they are simply a backdoor bailout of the banks.


The Bank Guarantee That Bankrupted Ireland | Ellen Brown

Putting risk management in a credible agency.....or not


There are several reasons why it wasn't until last week that a major U.S. bank was found guilty of fraud stemming from the financial crisis. The outrage-inducing first of these is that the banks have simply become "too big to jail"; the Department of Justice has been wary of prosecutions because it feared huge penalties would cause some firms to teeter back towards the edge of collapse in a sequel to 2008.
But another reason is one of resources, or rather, the lack thereof. Going toe to toe with Wall Street's legal machine requires a lot of money that federal regulators, at the moment anyway, just don't have.
 ----n a speech at Harvard University this week, CFTC Chairman Gary Gensler made similar remarks about his agency's lack of resources. "At 675 people, we are only slightly larger than we were 20 years ago. Since then though, Congress gave us the job of overseeing the $400 trillion swaps market, which is more than 10 times the market we oversaw just four years ago. Further, the futures market itself has grown fivefold since the 1990s," he said. "We need more enforcement staff to ensure this vast market actually comes into compliance and go after bad actors in the futures and swaps markets."
While the attempt to defund Obamacare via the appropriations process and then a government shutdown has garnered all the headlines, Republicans have tried a similar trick with the Dodd-Frank financial reform law of 2010, refusing to give regulators the money they need to implement it, slowing down both rule-writing and enforcement. For several years now, in fact, they've shortchanged not just the CFTC but the Securities and Exchange Commission, which also gained new responsibilities under the law.

I find it crazy that in the aftermath of the crisis we would defund the regulators while taking on so much of the risk involved in Wall Street trading.  Talk about moral hazard!!!!

Wall Street Regulators Are Facing a Budget Crisis and Congress Doesn’t Care - Pat Garofalo (usnews.com)

Tuesday, November 5, 2013

China Moves Toward Market-Oriented Reforms

This article discusses the ways in which China's central banker, Zhou Xiaochuan, wishes to change the country's economy as he is concerned with "the lethargic pace of economic reform."


What do you think China's leaders will decide? Will they move towards a more market-based economy? In what ways could this change impact China and/or the rest of the world?

Mishaps and deaths caused by surgical robots going underreported to FDA | PBS NewsHour

Not a best practice in government risk management:

The study, published in the Journal for Healthcare Quality earlier this year, focused on incidents involving Intuitive Surgical's da Vinci Robotic Surgical System over nearly 12 years, scrubbing through several data bases to find troubled outcomes. Researchers found 245 incidents reported to the FDA, including 71 deaths and 174 nonfatal injuries. But they also found eight cases in which reporting fell short, including five cases in which no FDA report was filed at all.  The FDA assesses and approves products based on reported device-related complications. If a medical device malfunctions, hospitals are required to report the incident to the manufacturer, which then reports it to the agency. The FDA, in turn, creates a report for its Manufacturer and User Facility Device Experience database....
Makary and his co-authors noted an earlier finding that "among the 37 percent of U.S. hospitals that describe robotic surgery on their hospital website, none mentioned any potential risks or complications.
"We rely on a haphazard reporting system that uses immature data and only the best experiences make it into the data," Makary said. "We introduce things but we don't evaluate them very well. If we're relying on the FDA about what (products) are superior, then we need a new process...you can't make conclusions on the safety profile of a device based on a shoddy reporting system."


Mishaps and deaths caused by surgical robots going underreported to FDA | PBS NewsHour

Monday, November 4, 2013

Lessons of the Obamacare Mess: Public Is Better

This article talks about the benefits of a government run health care system

We could have extended Medicare to everyone. Or if that was politically unthinkable, we could have extended Medicare a few years at a time -- first to 60 year olds, then to 55 year olds, then to the young, and so on until everyone was covered.
I've been thinking a lot lately about why and how simpler is usually better. And when it comes to providing social goods, simpler usually means public -- not "public private partnerships" (where the private partner makes the profit and government eats the loss and the thing has too many moving parts) but true public systems.
The author supports an extension of Medicare because it enjoys wider political support and is less complex than Obama care to administer. A government health care system would also eliminate the need to supervise and monitor the private vendors, therefore cutting down costs. Do you think a government run health care system would be a better alternative to Obama care? 

Government as the Ultimate Risk Manager

When it comes to insurance, it is very important to "pool" risks so that financial burdens are distributed across many people. Health insurance is a great example. Each policyholder of the insured group pays premiums that the insurance company then uses to cover the cost of those in the group who become sick or injured. While most people remain relatively healthy, large groups of people have more predictable medical expenses and the chance that actual costs exceed expected costs is minimized. 

Adverse selection, which occurs when individuals know more than their insurers about their own risk levels, is one of the primary sources of risk-related failures in the private sector. People that have terminal diseases are more likely to buy health insurance, so long as their insurers are unaware and fail to raise premiums. On the other hand, people who are healthy are less likely to purchase health insurance. This skews the insurance pool toward ever-higher levels of risk, which can distort or destroy insurance markets. 

Elisabeth and Mark Horst, artists in Albuquerque who earn $24,000 a year between them, qualified for a zero-premium plan.
In regards to adverse selection, David A. Moss states, "Compulsory insurance is especially effective because it prevents anyone - even the lowest-risk individuals - from opting out of the pool" (50). As health insurance coverage expands with the Affordable Care Act (ACA), the pool also needs to expand in order to balance out the large number of sick people who will be entering the market. This is why the individual mandate is so important.  

Do you think it is the government's role to mitigate the expenses associated with health problems? Or do you think that the private sector is adequate? What are your personal views on the individual mandate? After reading this article, which explains that many people will be obtaining free health insurance policies due to the ACA, do you still disagree with the individual mandate?

Those Depressing Germans

"This was a very bad thing for Europe, because Germany's failure to adjust magnified the cost of austerity."

What are the responsibilities for managing risk in a system with a shared currency? How is this worrisome in a more globalized economy? How can risk be managed more effectively?

Article:
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/04/opinion/krugman-those-depressing-germans.html?ref=opinion


Saturday, November 2, 2013

Best Education In The World: USA ranks 17th, Finland and South Korea rank 1st

The article emphasizes that having a strong education has less to do with funding and more to do the with the "culture" of education. Countries with a strong education system offer teachers a higher status in society and have a culture that is very supportive of learning.This is evident in the highly ranked Asian countries, where education is highly valued and parents have grand expectations. The article says that while Finland and South Korea differ greatly in methods of teaching and learning, they hold the top spots because of a shared social belief in the importance of education and its "underlying moral purpose."

"Throwing money at education by itself rarely produces results, and individual changes to education systems, however sensible, rarely do much on their own. Education requires long-term, coherent and focussed system-wide attention to achieve improvement."

"Good teachers are essential to high-quality education. Finding and retaining them is not necessarily a question of high pay. Instead, teachers need to be treated as the valuable professionals they are, not as technicians in a huge, educational machine"

Do you think we should focus more on having a "culture" that supports education rather than funding in America?



Germany to Increase Public Spending


This article discusses Germany's austerity measures and the recent push for more public spending. What do you think Germany should do? What would the costs/benefits of increased public spending be for Germany and the rest of Europe?   

If this is risk management, whose risk is being managed?

Some things are just wrong.  Is this one of them?

How Much Did President Obama Know About the N.S.A. Eavesdropping on Angela Merkel? : The New Yorker

Friday, November 1, 2013

Learning from Detroit's Bankruptcy

America seems in a state of denial about Detroit filing for bankruptcy. Many people think Motown is such an exceptional case that it holds few lessons for other places. What was once the country’s fourth-most-populous city grew rich thanks largely to a single industry. General Motors, Ford and Chrysler once made nearly all the cars sold in America; now, thanks to competition from foreign brands built in non-union states, they sell less than half. Detroit’s population has fallen by 60% since 1950. The murder rate is 11 times the national average. The previous mayor is in prison. Shrubs, weeds and raccoons have reclaimed empty neighbourhoods. The debts racked up when Detroit was big and rich are unpayable now that it is smaller and poor.
Other states and cities should pay heed, not because they might end up like Detroit next year, but because the city is a flashing warning light on America’s fiscal dashboard. Though some of its woes are unique, a crucial one is not. Many other state and city governments across America have made impossible-to-keep promises to do with pensions and health care. Detroit shows what can happen when leaders put off reforming the public sector for too long.
Read the full article here
Do you think  we have something to learn from Detroit's bankruptcy ? Will other cities in America face similar fate ?.The article says that American cities and states should promise less or face disaster. What do you think. 



Left and Right Divide

Found this interesting graphic. Check it out if you have a chance.



Nuclear Waste left Unclear


Look at the interactive map that is provided in this article. According to the government's own records, many sites that used to develop nuclear weapons are other forms of atomic energy are still unclear. Does this news surprise you? What should the government's role be in this situation? For more information, read here.

Sometimes government is the only answer: Fukushima

The profit motive is strong.  But in the case of natural disasters or "unnatural" ones, the profit motive conflicts with the public good.  

Tokyo Electric is handling an estimated $112-billion cleanup of the nuclear plant wrecked by an earthquake and tsunami in 2011. At the same time it’s trying to operate as a company generating power for its 29 million customers.  The tasks are not compatible as the utility doesn’t have motivation to invest in Fukushima as it’s a lost cause compared with businesses that will make money, said CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets analyst Penn Bowers. That’s hindering the recovery by delaying technical solutions the utility deems it cannot afford.

Read more: http://www.vancouversun.com/news/Tepco+split+looms+utility+lacks+ability+deal+with+Fukushima+disaster/9109324/story.html#ixzz2jOpiDBkP




Thursday, October 31, 2013

A New View of the Corporate Income Tax

I really liked this quote:


One of the least well-known aspects of tax policy-making is the distribution table, which is produced by the Joint Committee on Taxation, a Congressional committee, for every major tax bill. The tables show how the legislation affects taxpayers at different income levels. It is a generally understood, if unstated, rule that tax cuts should be evenly distributed in percentage terms while tax increases should primarily fall on the well to do.

The article, though, is about the tax incidence of the corporate income tax:

While economists still believe that the bulk of corporate income taxes is paid by the owners of capital, in recent years they have come to believe that workers ultimately pay much of the tax in the form of lower wages. This results from lower capital investment due to a higher cost of capital, which reduces productivity and hence wages, and because capital investment moves to other countries where corporate income taxes are lower.  

We can see the tax incidence by income distribution in the table below:




Raising the corporate income tax hurts low income people more according to this new methodology (recently adopted by the powers that be in Washington).  Lowering the tax might make economic sense but not necessarily political sense.  And a different methodology will lead to a different distribution.  The more we know, the less we know.......
A New View of the Corporate Income Tax - NYTimes.com

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Long-term Obligations Increase, but Where's the Funding?



This is an interesting article that illustrates the problems associated with promising benefits that cannot be funded. During the tax reform activity last night, some groups used a combination of cutting spending and increasing taxes. Springfield, IL spent 20%-25% of its operations budget on pensions in 2012. The price of this problem is visible in the town's decaying infrastructure and inability to pay for day-to-day needs. What do you think Springfield should do in order to combat this growing problem? Will the solutions proposed in this article be sufficient?

Monday, October 28, 2013

Tax on soda to be floated in San Francisco

http://www.sfgate.com/bayarea/article/Tax-on-soda-to-be-floated-in-San-Francisco-4932025.php

Wiener's proposal would levy a tax of 24 cents on each can of soda sold in the city, where fast-food restaurants are already prohibited from handing out free toys in kids' meals high in fat, salt and sugar.

The proceeds would fund health, nutrition and activity programs for city youth.

Similar tax measures were defeated last year across the bay in Richmond and in the Los Angeles County town of El Monte, after the beverage industry spent millions of dollars to kill the proposals.

Three big issues. 1) Do you see this as a Pigouvian tax? For the health of children, to reduce obesity? 2) Is this a just way to raise revenue or do you feel this affects your right to choose what's good for yourself? 3) Will such a reform ever be passed successfully? Will the giant corporations of the beverage industry like Coca Cola etc use their might to lobby against it?

Plan to Tax the Rich Could Aim Higher

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/26/business/taxing-new-yorkers-but-not-the-ultrarich.html?_r=0

To address the inequities of the two cities, Mr. de Blasio has proposed raising taxes on the wealthy, whom he defines as those making more than $500,000, to pay for prekindergarten and after-school care. This may be a laudable goal, but people making $500,000 who are actually living and working in the city already pay high federal, state and local income taxes as well as property taxes.

Tax law in New York City is determined by New York State, not the city, so the mayor has only the power of persuasion. But the mayor can be a strong advocate. A tacit goal of the Bloomberg administration seems to have been to woo the world’s superrich with generous tax treatment, in what seems to be a continuing global competition with London, Hong Kong and Singapore. Attracting the superrich may well bolster some tax revenue and confer benefits on the city and its more ordinary residents, but the question remains, can and should they be asked to pay more?

Nonresidents are an enormous potential source of tax revenue. According to the New York State Department of Taxation and Finance, in 2010, the most recent year available, there were 820,000 nonresident tax returns reporting $273 billion in income from all sources. Nonresidents appear to be disproportionately affluent. The idea that nonresidents should pay little or no tax has long rested both on notions of fairness, since they’re not around much to use city services, and pragmatism, because of the fear that higher taxes will drive them away.

Thoughts on a) Attracting the super rich and taxing them high like NYC and b) taxation on non residents?

Sunday, October 27, 2013

Whom Do Tax Reformers Want To Help?

http://www.forbes.com/sites/taxanalysts/2013/10/23/whom-do-tax-reformers-want-to-help/

Who are the intended beneficiaries of the tax reform effort being pushed? In general, they promise to expand the tax base by taxing more kinds of income and eliminating lots of credits and deductions in order to lower tax rates. The generalized argument is that a reformed tax system would benefit everyone by leading to less government interference in decision-making and greater economic growth. That’s fair enough, but voters will reasonably ask: What about me?

This is a very thought provoking question and article. Your views?

Saturday, October 26, 2013

Diseconomies of scale in federal programs

Click on the link below and look at the graph (quick and easy to do) that shows how many federal agencies have programs in particular areas.  For instance, 5 agencies do 15 unmanned aircraft programs.  Do you suppose this is efficient?  I am not saying that large corporations are much more efficient but it would seem that the profit motive would lead to some restructuring and streamlining that might make things more efficient.

West Michigan Economy and Politics: How to Manage the Federal Budget

Market failure is not just a theoretical concept. Think private prison.

 Slattery’s current company, Youth Services International, has retained and even expanded its contracts to operate juvenile prisons in several states. The company has capitalized on budgetary strains across the country as governments embrace privatization in pursuit of cost savings. Nearly 40 percent of the nation’s juvenile delinquents are today committed to private facilities, according to the most recent federal data from 2011, up from about 33 percent twelve years earlier.
Over the past two decades, more than 40,000 boys and girls in 16 states have gone through one of Slattery’s prisons, boot camps or detention centers, according to a Huffington Post analysis of juvenile facility data.
The private prison industry has long fueled its growth on the proposition that it is a boon to taxpayers, delivering better outcomes at lower costs than state facilities. But significant evidence undermines that argument: the tendency of young people to return to crime once they get out, for example, and long-term contracts that can leave states obligated to fill prison beds. The harsh conditions confronting youth inside YSI’s facilities, moreover, show the serious problems that can arise when government hands over social services to private contractors and essentially walks away.
Those held at YSI facilities across the country have frequently faced beatings, neglect, sexual abuse and unsanitary food over the past two decades, according to a HuffPost investigation that included interviews with 14 former employees and a review of thousands of pages of state audits, lawsuits, local police reports and probes by state and federal agencies.

Organaizational theory tells us that when outcomes are mufti-dimensional, it can be hard to structure contracts to ensure quality.  Hence the need for some sort of public provision (or vertical integration ) in that case.  Read the entire piece at the link below.
Prisoners of Profit - The Huffington Post

Income inequality in historical perspective

 

 incomeinequality.jpg (JPEG Image, 570 × 416 pixels)   The graph in the previous post came from same source.

Maybe it would be okay to raise marginal tax rates on the top income earners?  Just a little?

American income distribution, 2010

Federal budget negoitiations begin next week

From an Associated Press piece:

Long-standing, entrenched differences over taxes make a large-scale budget pact virtually impossible, according to lawmakers, their aides and observers who will be monitoring the talks. Most Republicans say they simply won't agree to any further taxes atop the 10-year, $600 billion-plus tax increase on upper-income earners that President Barack Obama and Democrats muscled through Congress in January. Without higher taxes, Democrats say they won't yield to cuts in benefit programs like Medicare. "If we focus on some big, grand bargain then we're going to focus on our differences, and both sides are going to require that the other side compromises some core principle and then we'll get nothing done," Ryan, who chairs the House Budget Committee, said in an interview Thursday. "So we aren't focusing on a grand bargain because I don't think in this divided government you'll get one." But a fellow GOP negotiator, Oklahoma Rep. Tom Cole, said Friday that additional revenue could be part of an agreement.
Added Cole: "Both sides would like to deal with the sequester. And we're willing to put more revenue on the table to do that, and we would like to do it with entitlement savings." Cole was not talking about raising tax rates; one option he mentioned would be to give corporations incentive to repatriate untaxed overseas profits.

The next round of sequester cuts are a big issue:

The White House and Democrats are pressing to include new revenue from closing tax loopholes and infrastructure spending to boost the economy. Before departing the White House on Friday for stops in New York City, Obama discussed the budget process by phone with Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada, House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi of California, Murray and Chris Van Hollen of Maryland, the top Democrat on the House Budget Committee. He did not make a similar call to congressional Republicans.  "Even if we do not have the big grand bargain, if you were to have a medium deal or small deal, those deals could have permanent loophole closures and permanent mandatory savings that would help our permanent long-term fiscal situation," senior White House official Gene Sperling told a business group Friday.
The automatic spending cuts are required because a 2011 deficit-reduction supercommittee failed to reach an agreement. The cuts would carve $91 billion from the day-to-day budgets of the Pentagon and domestic agencies in 2014 compared with the spending caps set by a 2011 budget deal. The Pentagon would absorb almost 60 percent of the cuts.


Starving the beast through sequester.....and continued austerity.  We live in interesting times, don't you think?

AP News: Both sides agree: No major budget deal foreseen

Friday, October 25, 2013

Deforestation surges as Ecuador kills Amazon protection plan

It's not my turn to blog but I find this article relevant to Tanzi's views at the end of the book. http://news.mongabay.com/2013/0903-ecuador-deforestation.html#2ZSb0hrSTLXGbrFf.01
Data released this week by Terra-i, a collaborative mapping initiative, shows that deforestation in Ecuador for the first three months of 2013 was pacing more than 300 percent ahead of last year's rate. The report comes shortly after Ecuadorean President Rafael Correa killed off a proposed plan to prohibit oil drilling in Yasuni National Park in exchange for payments equivalent to half the value of the park's unexploited oil reserves.
The failure to attract intergovernmental institutions and governments was effectively a nail in the coffin for the concept, which banked on the desire of Western governments to keep 407 million metric tons of carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere while protecting an area of forest that scientists say may be the richest in the Amazon. The biggest setback came in June 2011 when Germany pulled out of a $50 million commitment to the program. Since then, progress on the initiative has largely stalled. Chief stumbling blocks were concerns over how Ecuador would use the funds generated under the initiative, risk of political instability, and whether Correa would abide by his promises. According to U.N. data, Ecuador had one of the highest rates of deforestation in South America during the 2000's, losing 1.8 percent of its forest cover annually.
Tanzi talked about global public goods and the urgency for international governments to cooperate. This failed initiative was one such attempt in recent memory. How ready do you think governments around the world are to work together for the greater good of the world and do you think it is in their interest to do so any time soon? I suspect that even if they do such a thing, any "solution" they agree on is likely to create other problems in the future.

Family net worth plummets 40% after the great recession


 Family net worth plummets 40%.


 A picture is worth a thousand words.



Family net worth plummets 40% - Jun. 11, 2012

Thursday, October 24, 2013

Oregon launching new program to tax drivers per mile

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2013/10/21/oregon-plan-to-replace-gas-tax-with-milage-tax-raised-concerns-on-privacy-cost/

Oregon is moving ahead with a controversial plan to tax motorists based on the number of miles they drive as opposed to the amount of fuel they consume, raising myriad concerns about cost and privacy.

Does this move seem crazy to you? Or a correct way to proceed to gather additional tax revenue which is suffering from diminishing returns? Does it impinge on your right to move freely? Or do you see it in a more positive light, as saving the earth from environmental catastrophes and promoting public transport?

White House to Tweak Tax-Penalty Deadline

http://www.nytimes.com/news/affordable-care-act/2013/10/23/white-house-to-tweak-tax-penalty-deadline/?_r=0

Under President Obama’s health care law, most Americans will be required to have insurance next year, and they may be subject to tax penalties if they go without coverage.


Do you people see this as something fair? Or does it impeach your rights? You can surely opt to not buy insurance if you don't want to or lack the means to, right? Is your health your concern or the state's? 

Who Doesn't Pay Federal Taxes?

The Tax Policy Center is a great resource for understanding tax policy in the United States.  They have a fairly active blog as well as an archive of academic papers--both freely available.  Check out the graphs on who makes up the 47% of Americans who don't  pay federal income taxes. (go here

The problem is that incomes have grown more unequal.  Should we have some sort of income tax on these people?  Or let it go?  Any notions about vertical equity?

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Interesting piece that aligns with discussion from last night's class

A few tidbits from  Us Versus Them « naked capitalism:


 Rising political polarisation in the US has gone hand-in-hand with rising income inequality, falling top-end tax rates, lower taxes on business, rising leverage and higher asset prices. These trends may be coincidental, but they seem to reinforce each other. The medium-term risk is that some of these trends reverse, as occurred after the 1920s.


Congressional political polarisation and income inequality in the US are at multi-decade extremes (Exhibit 1). The polity is split; incomes are unequal.  The rise in polarisation partly reflects electoral gerrymandering that has sharply reduced the number of contestable seats (Exhibit 2). Only 20% of House of Representatives seats would change hands on a 5% swing. This increases the centrifugal influence of the party members who dominate the increasingly-decisive party primary elections.

 However, rising political polarisation pre-dates the decline in contestable seats: it started as incomes became more unequal. Inequality has not risen because the rich got richer faster than the poor. It increased because the income gains of the past 30 years have gone to the top 1%. Average income for the bottom 99% is now unchanged in real terms over the past 40 years.

You should read the whole thing.  It has a lot of graphs in support of statements made.  Are they believable to you?  Why or why not?